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Naval Reinosa vs CD Barquereno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gutierrez H.
29' Event
Gonzalez D.
33' Event
Sanchez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Naval Reinosa and CD Barquereno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Barquereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Naval Reinosa
20%
Draws
40%
CD Barquereno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Barquereno come out ahead of Naval Reinosa on wins alone.
  • Naval Reinosa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 16%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval Reinosa CD Barquereno
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.09 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs CD Barquereno
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Naval Reinosa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval Reinosa 41 / 100
CD Barquereno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval Reinosa CD Barquereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Barquereno let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Naval Reinosa scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

CD Barquereno's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Naval Reinosa VS CD Barquereno
0.4 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval Reinosa

(Home)
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7

CD Barquereno

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)