Sport Picks
Naval Reinosa vs Guarnizo Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 
Match Events
33'
33'
Cagigas M.
38'
38'
Kike B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarnizo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Naval Reinosa haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naval Reinosa | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 38 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 14 |
| Losses | 18 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.45 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Guarnizo
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Guarnizo
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Naval Reinosa
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Guarnizo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naval Reinosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kike B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23
Guarnizo Compare
Top Goalscorer Cagigas M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naval Reinosa 30 / 100
Guarnizo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naval Reinosa Guarnizo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Naval Reinosa scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Guarnizo let in goals in 55% of their last 38 matches.
Scoring Trends
Naval Reinosa VS Guarnizo
0.4 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Naval Reinosa
(Home) 26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4 CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2 Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3 Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0 Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1 Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4 CD Laredo
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3 Torina
04 May
Naval Reinosa
2 : 0 Bezana
18 Apr
Naval Reinosa
1 : 2 CD Colindres
06 Apr
Naval Reinosa
0 : 0 CD Siete Villas
Page 1 of 3
Guarnizo
(Away) 26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Samano | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:22 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 58:30 | 67 |
| 3 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 61:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 45:26 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:42 | 57 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Torina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 50 |
| 9 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 60:59 | 49 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Gama | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:56 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Barreda Balompie | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 49:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 40:59 | 33 |
| 17 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:53 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Monte | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 33:64 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
