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Navalcarnero vs Conquense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navalcarnero host Conquense in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Navalcarnero at 1.53 goals for, 1.23 against; Conquense at 1.4 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Navalcarnero have won 2 to Conquense's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Conquense to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Navalcarnero
20%
Draws
45%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Navalcarnero haven't matched Conquense's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 68%
Conquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navalcarnero Conquense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Conquense
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Navalcarnero
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Conquense
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Navalcarnero
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navalcarnero 41 / 100
Conquense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navalcarnero Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Navalcarnero scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Conquense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Navalcarnero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navalcarnero VS Conquense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Navalcarnero

(Home)
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2
Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Conquense

(Away)
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
01 Aug
Conquense
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Numancia 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 San Sebastian Reyes 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Conquense 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 RSD Alcala 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
5 Valladolid Promesas 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
6 Salamanca CF UDS 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Atl. Madrid C 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
8 Navalcarnero 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Albacete B 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
10 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
11 Gimnastica Segoviana 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
12 Real Avila 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Real Madrid C 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
14 Getafe B 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 CF Talavera 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Atletico Tordesillas 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
17 Atletico Paso 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
18 Puertollano C.F. 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)