Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Giyosov M.
19' Event
Norchaev K.
(Penalty)
31'
Tursunmahammadov S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Navbahor Namangan and Bunyodkor finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navbahor Namangan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Navbahor Namangan
15%
Draws
16%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Navbahor Namangan come out ahead of Bunyodkor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Navbahor Namangan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Bunyodkor
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor
4:3
Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor
0:2
May 18, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:3
Aug 19, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Giyosov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kholmatov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdunabiev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pletnev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 85 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Bunyodkor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bunyodkor has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Navbahor Namangan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Bunyodkor
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

Bunyodkor

(Away)
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)