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Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Abdurakhmonov S. In: Alex Fernandes
Out: Abdurakhmonov S.
46'
Sub
Ilic V. In: Giyosov M.
Out: Ilic V.
68'
Alex Fernandes

AI Match Summary

Buxoro in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Navbahor Namangan
20%
Draws
19%
Buxoro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Navbahor Namangan lately — more wins on the board than Buxoro.
  • Win probability leans Navbahor Namangan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Buxoro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan
1:4
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan
5:0
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro
3:0
Jul 5, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Navbahor Namangan vs Buxoro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 95 / 100
Buxoro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Buxoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Navbahor Namangan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Buxoro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Buxoro
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
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Buxoro

(Away)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)