Sport Picks
Navbahor Namangan vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan 
Match Events
7'
7'
Amonov A.
18'
18'
Jgerenaia G.
19'
19'
Tukhtasinov N.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Navbahor Namangan and Din. Samarkand finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navbahor Namangan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navbahor Namangan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Navbahor Namangan come out ahead of Din. Samarkand on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Navbahor Namangan taking it.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 20%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navbahor Namangan | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Din. Samarkand
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Navbahor Namangan
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Navbahor Namangan
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Din. Samarkand
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Navbahor Namangan Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmonov S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jgerenaia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Amonov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jumaboev J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navbahor Namangan 85 / 100
Din. Samarkand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navbahor Namangan Din. Samarkand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navbahor Namangan's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Din. Samarkand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Navbahor Namangan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Navbahor Namangan VS Din. Samarkand
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Navbahor Namangan
(Home) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Din. Samarkand
(Away) 09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
