Sport Picks
Navbahor Namangan vs Lok. Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Rakhimzhonov A. In: Mirsaidov S.
Out: Rakhimzhonov A.
40'
40'
Norchaev K.
Assist: Usmonov M.
46'
46'
Sub
Usmonov M. In: Alex Fernandes
Out: Usmonov M.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Navbahor Namangan and Lok. Tashkent finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navbahor Namangan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Navbahor Namangan come out ahead of Lok. Tashkent on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Navbahor Namangan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 18%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navbahor Namangan | Lok. Tashkent |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Lok. Tashkent
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan
0:2
Sep 20, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1
May 5, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Lok. Tashkent
4:0
Nov 3, 2022 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Navbahor Namangan Compare
Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Lok. Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Yakhshiboev J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navbahor Namangan 31 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navbahor Namangan Lok. Tashkent
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navbahor Namangan scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Recent resilience: Navbahor Namangan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Lok. Tashkent conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Navbahor Namangan VS Lok. Tashkent
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Navbahor Namangan
(Home) 11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Lok. Tashkent
(Away) 11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
15 Aug
Kokand 1912
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
