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Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jiyanov R.
Assist: Gulomov A.
20' Event
Tursunkulov K.
31' Event
Norchaev K.
Assist: Kholmatov D.

AI Match Summary

OKMK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Navbahor Namangan
30%
Draws
33%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Navbahor Namangan have won more games recently than OKMK.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Navbahor Namangan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
OKMK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan OKMK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Navbahor Namangan
2:2
Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Navbahor Namangan
3:1
Jun 21, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs OKMK
3:0
Aug 12, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Navbahor Namangan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jiyanov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norchaev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursunkulov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 68 / 100
OKMK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

OKMK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS OKMK
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
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OKMK

(Away)
11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 23 13 6 4 41:23 45
4 Lok. Tashkent 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
5 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
6 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
7 OKMK 23 10 6 7 33:31 36
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 23 8 4 11 40:46 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)