Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan host Pakhtakor in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Navbahor Namangan at 1.52 goals for, 0.97 against; Pakhtakor at 1.69 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Navbahor Namangan slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward Navbahor Namangan. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Navbahor Namangan
20%
Draws
40%
Pakhtakor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Navbahor Namangan have managed 1.52 goals a game lately — Pakhtakor are scoring more at 1.69.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Navbahor Namangan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 19%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Pakhtakor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Navbahor Namangan
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor
5:2
Aug 30, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Pakhtakor vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 42 / 100
Pakhtakor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Pakhtakor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pakhtakor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Pakhtakor
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

Pakhtakor

(Away)
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)