Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navigatoriai Vilnius vs Transinvest

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navigatoriai Vilnius play Transinvest in the Lithuanian Cup 2023. Transinvest are favorites here. Recently, Navigatoriai Vilnius averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. Transinvest averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Navigatoriai Vilnius won 0, Transinvest won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Navigatoriai Vilnius and 2.12 for Transinvest. This points to a Transinvest double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Navigatoriai Vilnius
16%
Draws
64%
Transinvest
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Transinvest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Navigatoriai Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to Transinvest.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 2.12 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Navigatoriai Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Transinvest Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navigatoriai Vilnius Transinvest
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 1 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.36
Goals Conceded 2 1.04

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
Navigatoriai Vilnius vs Transinvest
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navigatoriai Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Transinvest Compare

Top Goalscorer Virksas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pilibaitis L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navigatoriai Vilnius 20 / 100
Transinvest 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navigatoriai Vilnius Transinvest

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Transinvest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Transinvest & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Navigatoriai Vilnius attacking → ← attacking Transinvest

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navigatoriai Vilnius scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Transinvest let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Navigatoriai Vilnius went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Transinvest lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00