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Naviraiense vs Corumbaense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

0 - 0
FT
Corumbaense Logo

Corumbaense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Naviraiense and Corumbaense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Naviraiense
30%
Draws
33%
Corumbaense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Naviraiense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 20%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense Corumbaense
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Corumbaense
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Corumbaense
0:0
Mar 16, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Corumbaense
2:4
Feb 18, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Naviraiense
1:1
Apr 3, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Corumbaense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 32 / 100
Corumbaense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense Corumbaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naviraiense scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Corumbaense has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Naviraiense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Corumbaense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naviraiense

(Home)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

Corumbaense

(Away)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)