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Naxara vs Alaves B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Manas A.

AI Match Summary

Alaves B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Naxara
15%
Draws
45%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Naxara haven't matched Alaves B's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alaves B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Naxara Clean Sheet 17%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara Alaves B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.27 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Alaves B
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Naxara
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Naxara
5:1
Sep 3, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Alaves B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naxara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Manas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 36 / 100
Alaves B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naxara scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Naxara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Alaves B conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS Alaves B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Naxara
2 : 0
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Alaves B

(Away)
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)