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Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naxxar Lions play Pembroke in the Challenge League 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Naxxar Lions averaged 2.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Pembroke averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Naxxar Lions won 0, Pembroke won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Naxxar Lions and 1.56 for Pembroke. This points to a Pembroke double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Naxxar Lions
6%
Draws
90%
Pembroke
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pembroke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pembroke has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Naxxar Lions.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pembroke.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Challenge League 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Naxxar Lions Clean Sheet 15%
Pembroke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxxar Lions Pembroke
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Challenge League
Pembroke vs Naxxar Lions
1:0
Dec 17, 2021 Challenge League
Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke
1:2
Jan 20, 2021 Challenge League
Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke
0:3
Mar 13, 2020 Challenge League
Pembroke vs Naxxar Lions
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Challenge League
Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxxar Lions 10 / 100
Pembroke 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxxar Lions Pembroke

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naxxar Lions scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Pembroke let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Naxxar Lions went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pembroke lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naxxar Lions VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210