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Nchanga Rangers vs Red Arrows

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026 Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
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AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Nchanga Rangers and Red Arrows finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nchanga Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nchanga Rangers
20%
Draws
52%
Red Arrows
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Arrows carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Red Arrows a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 26%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nchanga Rangers Red Arrows
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Red Arrows
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Nchanga Rangers
2:0
Mar 26, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Nchanga Rangers
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Red Arrows
1:0
May 4, 2024 Absa Cup
Nchanga Rangers vs Red Arrows
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nchanga Rangers 25 / 100
Red Arrows 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nchanga Rangers Red Arrows

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nchanga Rangers's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nchanga Rangers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Red Arrows's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nchanga Rangers VS Red Arrows
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
33% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nchanga Rangers

(Home)
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
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Red Arrows

(Away)
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
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