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Nchanga Rangers vs Trident - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nchanga Rangers host Trident in the Super League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Trident have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Nchanga Rangers have conceded 0.77 and scored 0.87. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.79 xG vs 1.13) point toward Nchanga Rangers. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nchanga Rangers
30%
Draws
39%
Trident
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trident

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nchanga Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Trident.
  • Win probability leans Nchanga Rangers's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Trident Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nchanga Rangers Trident
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.87 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nchanga Rangers 40 / 100
Trident 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nchanga Rangers Trident

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nchanga Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nchanga Rangers scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Trident has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Nchanga Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Trident lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nchanga Rangers VS Trident
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nchanga Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Trident

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)