Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ND Gorica vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Nwachukwu P. O.

AI Match Summary

ND Gorica in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ND Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ND Gorica
11%
Draws
9%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilirija have won more games recently than ND Gorica.
  • Model gives ND Gorica a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ND Gorica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 16%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Ilirija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs ND Gorica
1:1
May 7, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs ND Gorica
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwachukwu P. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ilirija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 75 / 100
Ilirija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilirija conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

ND Gorica's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ND Gorica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Ilirija
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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Ilirija

(Away)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)