Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ND Gorica vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Nwachukwu P. O.

AI Match Summary

ND Gorica in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ND Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ND Gorica
20%
Draws
40%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ilirija have won more games recently than ND Gorica.
  • Model gives ND Gorica a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ND Gorica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Ilirija
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs ND Gorica
1:1
May 7, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs ND Gorica
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Ilirija
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwachukwu P. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Ilirija Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 49 / 100
Ilirija 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ND Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ND Gorica found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Ilirija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ND Gorica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Ilirija
1.83 Goals Scored 1
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

Ilirija

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)