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ND Gorica vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Salisu N.
77' Event
Poredos L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ND Gorica
20%
Draws
29%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than ND Gorica.
  • Win probability leans ND Gorica's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Nafta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Nafta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Nafta
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs ND Gorica
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 2. SNL
Nafta vs ND Gorica
1:3
Aug 13, 2023 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Nafta
3:4
Apr 22, 2022 2. SNL
Nafta vs ND Gorica
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Salisu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Poredos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 76 / 100
Nafta 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ND Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: ND Gorica scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

ND Gorica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Nafta
0.67 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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Nafta

(Away)
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
15 Aug
Nafta
1 : 3
Celje
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)