Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ND Gorica vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Salisu N.
77' Event
Poredos L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
ND Gorica
6%
Draws
4%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than ND Gorica.
  • Win probability leans ND Gorica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Nafta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Nafta
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 4 22
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Nafta
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs ND Gorica
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 2. SNL
Nafta vs ND Gorica
1:3
Aug 13, 2023 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Nafta
3:4
Apr 22, 2022 2. SNL
Nafta vs ND Gorica
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Salisu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Poredos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 85 / 100
Nafta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: ND Gorica scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

ND Gorica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Nafta
1.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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Nafta

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)