Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ND Gorica vs Rudar

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Suligoj T. R.
30' Event
Nwachukwu P. O.
64' Event
Krefl A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rudar in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rudar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
ND Gorica
15%
Draws
48%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rudar lately — more wins on the board than ND Gorica.
  • ND Gorica are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 17%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Rudar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Rudar
2:3
Oct 18, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs ND Gorica
2:1
Nov 26, 2024 2. SNL
Rudar vs ND Gorica
2:2
Aug 10, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Rudar
3:3
Jan 31, 2024 Club Friendly
ND Gorica vs Rudar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Suligoj T. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwachukwu P. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Krefl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 41 / 100
Rudar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

ND Gorica scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rudar let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: ND Gorica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Rudar
1.83 Goals Scored 1.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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Rudar

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)