Sport Picks

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Ndanda vs Biashara Mara United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hamis A.

AI Match Summary

Ndanda in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ndanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ndanda
20%
Draws
51%
Biashara Mara United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Biashara Mara United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Biashara Mara United lately — more wins on the board than Ndanda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 23%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ndanda Biashara Mara United
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.76 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Biashara Mara United
1:0
Dec 2, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Ndanda
1:0
Mar 11, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Ndanda
2:0
Oct 25, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Biashara Mara United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ndanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Biashara Mara United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ndanda 37 / 100
Biashara Mara United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ndanda Biashara Mara United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biashara Mara United has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ndanda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ndanda scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Biashara Mara United
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ndanda

(Home)
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1
Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Biashara Mara United

(Away)
16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0
Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0
TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)