Sport Picks
Match Events
61'
61'
Samuel J.
62'
62'
Javu H.
65'
65'
Kapama N.
AI Match Summary
Ndanda in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ndanda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ndanda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kagera Sugar lately — more wins on the board than Ndanda.
- Ndanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 68%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ndanda | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 45 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Kagera Sugar
2:1
Nov 29, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Ndanda
0:0
Feb 11, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Kagera Sugar
2:0
Sep 28, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Ndanda
3:1
Apr 8, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Kagera Sugar
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ndanda Compare
Top Goalscorer Samuel J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Javu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Kagera Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Kapama N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ndanda 95 / 100
Kagera Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ndanda Kagera Sugar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ndanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagera Sugar let in goals in 71% of their last 45 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Ndanda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Kagera Sugar lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kagera Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ndanda
(Home) 26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1 Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
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18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1 Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
05 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0 Simba
20 Jun
Ndanda
1 : 0 Biashara Mara United
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Kagera Sugar
(Away) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
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27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
22 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kagera Sugar
18 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Kagera Sugar
14 Apr
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Kagera Sugar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
