Sport Picks

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Ndanda vs Mbeya City

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Madeleke S.

AI Match Summary

Mbeya City in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbeya City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ndanda
30%
Draws
47%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ndanda haven't matched Mbeya City's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 25%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ndanda Mbeya City
Matches Played 29 44
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.76 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mbeya City
0:1
Jan 11, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Ndanda
1:0
Mar 3, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Ndanda
0:0
Oct 19, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mbeya City
0:0
Feb 7, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mbeya City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ndanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Madeleke S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ndanda 33 / 100
Mbeya City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ndanda Mbeya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ndanda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ndanda found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Mbeya City conceded in 57% of 44 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mbeya City
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ndanda

(Home)
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1
Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Mbeya City

(Away)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)