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Nea Ionia vs AO Ilisiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nea Ionia host AO Ilisiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9. This one's hard to separate. AO Ilisiakos have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Nea Ionia have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Nea Ionia have won 2 to AO Ilisiakos's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Nea Ionia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nea Ionia
15%
Draws
49%
AO Ilisiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AO Ilisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AO Ilisiakos average 1.36 goals a game right now, well clear of Nea Ionia's 1.18.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Nea Ionia Clean Sheet 13%
AO Ilisiakos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Ionia AO Ilisiakos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
AO Ilisiakos vs Nea Ionia
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Nea Ionia vs AO Ilisiakos
0:3
Jan 28, 2015 Football League 2 - Group D
AO Ilisiakos vs Nea Ionia
1:1
Sep 21, 2014 Football League 2 - Group D
Nea Ionia vs AO Ilisiakos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Ionia 35 / 100
AO Ilisiakos 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Ionia AO Ilisiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Ilisiakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Ionia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nea Ionia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AO Ilisiakos conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nea Ionia VS AO Ilisiakos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Ionia

(Home)
04 Oct
Nea Ionia
4 : 0
Acharnaikos
27 Sept
Thyella Diastavroseos
2 : 1
Nea Ionia
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Kentavros Vrilission
4 : 0
Nea Ionia
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
Page 1 of 6

AO Ilisiakos

(Away)
04 Oct
AO Ilisiakos
2 : 0
Saronikos Anavyssou
27 Sept
Kyanos Astir Varis
0 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
08 Apr
Atsalenios FC
1 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
05 Apr
AO Ilisiakos
0 : 1
Giouchtas
01 Apr
Aias
0 : 3
AO Ilisiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Ilisiakos 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Mykonos 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Thyella Diastavroseos 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Saronikos Anavyssou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
5 Pannaxiakos 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
6 Nea Ionia 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
7 Magoulas 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Ilioupoli 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Kyanos Astir Varis 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
10 E. Asteras 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
11 Acharnaikos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (Losers stage)