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Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2025/2026 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Perez D.
29' Event
Artiles J.
35' Event
Perez D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Nea Salamis and ASIL Lysi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nea Salamis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nea Salamis
20%
Draws
51%
ASIL Lysi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASIL Lysi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nea Salamis come out ahead of ASIL Lysi on wins alone.
  • Nea Salamis are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nea Salamis have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 17%
ASIL Lysi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Salamis ASIL Lysi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.12 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Nea Salamis
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Nea Salamis
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Nea Salamis
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nea Salamis Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Artiles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

ASIL Lysi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruchwani L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Salamis 39 / 100
ASIL Lysi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Salamis ASIL Lysi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Salamis's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: ASIL Lysi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Nea Salamis has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nea Salamis VS ASIL Lysi
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Salamis

(Home)
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
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ASIL Lysi

(Away)
19 Sept
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 1
ASIL Lysi
12 Sept
Ayia Napa
1 : 3
ASIL Lysi
25 Apr
Nea Salamis
4 : 1
ASIL Lysi
17 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 1
M.E.A.P. Nisou
04 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 6
Karmiotissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nea Salamis 14 11 2 1 29:10 76
2 Karmiotissa 14 8 5 1 29:11 53
3 Omonia 29th May 14 7 6 1 30:18 53
4 PAEEK 14 4 5 5 19:23 46
5 Doxa 14 4 3 7 13:23 42
6 Ayia Napa 14 4 3 7 22:28 41
7 ASIL Lysi 14 2 2 10 18:37 31
8 M.E.A.P. Nisou 14 2 2 10 13:23 29
Promotion - Cyprus League (Main)