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Neath Athletic vs Brymbo

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neath Athletic in this FA Cup 2006/2007 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Neath Athletic
15%
Draws
36%
Brymbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neath Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Neath Athletic have won more games recently than Brymbo.
  • Win probability leans Neath Athletic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Neath Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Neath Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Brymbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neath Athletic Brymbo
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 15 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.23 4.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.84 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2006 FAW Welsh Cup
Neath Athletic vs Brymbo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neath Athletic 85 / 100
Brymbo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neath Athletic Brymbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neath Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neath Athletic found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Brymbo conceded in 100% of 11 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Brymbo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neath Athletic VS Brymbo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.43
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Neath Athletic

(Home)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 7

Brymbo

(Away)
04 Sept
Bala
17 : 1
Brymbo
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1
Llansantffraid Village
19 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 1
Brymbo
20 Oct
Buckley
3 : 1
Brymbo
01 Oct
Llangefni
4 : 0
Brymbo
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Port Talbot 3
Bala 0
Ton Pentre 1
Rhyl 0
Caerleon 1
Ely Rangers 2
Afan Lido 3
Bodedern 0
Holyhead 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Bridgend Town 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Welshpool 2
Pontypridd United 1
Neath Athletic 3
Brymbo 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Llanelli 2
Newtown 2
Dinas Powys 0
Newport YMCA 1
Connahs Q. 3
Maesteg Park 0
Llandudno FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
West End 0
Caersws FC 3
Buckley 0
Porthmadog 2
Bangor City 0
Pwllheli 1
TNS 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Ton Pentre 1
Ely Rangers 1
Afan Lido 2
Holyhead 2
Bridgend Town 1
Welshpool 3
Neath Athletic 0
Llanelli 7
Newtown 0
Connahs Q. 3
Llandudno FC 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Caersws FC 0
Porthmadog 3
TNS 2
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 1
Holyhead 1
Welshpool 5
Llanelli 6
Connahs Q. 2
Carmarthen Town 2
Porthmadog 1
Semi-finals
Afan Lido 2
Welshpool 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 1
Final
Afan Lido 2
Carmarthen Town 3