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Neath Athletic vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

League Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
22' Event
39' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Neath Athletic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Neath Athletic
20%
Draws
16%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neath Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Llanelli haven't matched Neath Athletic's recent run of results.
  • Neath Athletic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Neath Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Neath Athletic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neath Athletic Llanelli
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 1.73 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Llanelli
1:5
Mar 9, 2012 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Neath Athletic
1:2
Feb 28, 2012 League Cup
Neath Athletic vs Llanelli
4:2
Feb 15, 2012 League Cup
Llanelli vs Neath Athletic
0:0
Jan 2, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Llanelli
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neath Athletic 58 / 100
Llanelli 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neath Athletic Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neath Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neath Athletic scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Llanelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Llanelli's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llanelli
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neath Athletic

(Home)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
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Llanelli

(Away)
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Afan Lido 2
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Port Talbot 3
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Neath Athletic -
TNS -
TBD -
Bala 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Bangor City -
TBD -
Prestatyn 2
Newtown 3
Quarter-finals
Afan Lido 2
Port Talbot 0
Llanelli 2
Neath Athletic 4
TNS 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Bangor City 2
Newtown 6
Semi-finals
Afan Lido 3
Neath Athletic 1
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Final
Afan Lido 2
Newtown 1