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Nebbi Central vs Kaaro Karungi

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

1 - 0
FT
Kaaro Karungi Logo

Kaaro Karungi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nebbi Central in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nebbi Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nebbi Central
20%
Draws
57%
Kaaro Karungi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaaro Karungi have won more games recently than Nebbi Central.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 20%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Kaaro Karungi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Kaaro Karungi
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Nebbi Central
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 32 / 100
Kaaro Karungi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Kaaro Karungi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaaro Karungi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Kaaro Karungi let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Nebbi Central went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Kaaro Karungi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebbi Central

(Home)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
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Kaaro Karungi

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Ntugasaze
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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