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Nebbi Central vs Kataka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

1 - 0
FT
Kataka Logo

Kataka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Nebbi Central and Kataka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nebbi Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nebbi Central
20%
Draws
51%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nebbi Central haven't matched Kataka's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 16%
Kataka Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Kataka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Kataka
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Big League
Kataka vs Nebbi Central
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 31 / 100
Kataka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Kataka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nebbi Central scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kataka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Nebbi Central stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Kataka
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebbi Central

(Home)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Kataka

(Away)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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