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Nebitci vs Sagadam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nebitci host Sagadam in the Yokary Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nebitci at 0.79 goals for, 1.83 against; Sagadam at 0.97 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Sagadam slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Sagadam. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Nebitci
20%
Draws
65%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sagadam have won more games recently than Nebitci.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Sagadam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 14%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebitci Sagadam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.79 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1
May 16, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebitci 27 / 100
Sagadam 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebitci Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagadam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagadam let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Nebitci found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Nebitci has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nebitci VS Sagadam
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebitci

(Home)
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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Sagadam

(Away)
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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