Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
NEC FC host Ntugasaze in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. NEC FC have averaged 1.21 scored and 0.55 conceded recently, against Ntugasaze's 1.28 scored and 1.03 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward NEC FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and NEC FC come out ahead of Ntugasaze on wins alone.
- Model gives NEC FC a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NEC FC | Ntugasaze |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.55 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
NEC FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
NEC FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Ntugasaze registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ntugasaze has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
NEC FC
(Home)Ntugasaze
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 3 | NEC FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | 14 |
| 5 | Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 10 |
| 6 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Kampala City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 10 | UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Police | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Uganda Revenue | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | 1 |
