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NEC vs Marcilio Dias

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2020
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Marcilio Dias advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
NEC
40%
Draws
29%
Marcilio Dias
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Marcilio Dias carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Marcilio Dias arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
NEC Clean Sheet 20%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEC Marcilio Dias
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 8
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina
NEC vs Marcilio Dias
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEC 32 / 100
Marcilio Dias 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEC Marcilio Dias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Marcilio Dias let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: NEC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marcilio Dias
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NEC

(Home)
27 Jan
NEC
2 : 0
Tubarao
24 Jan
Joinville
4 : 0
NEC
21 Jan
NEC
3 : 2
Gremio Juventus
18 Jan
NEC
1 : 2
Marcilio Dias
13 Jan
Concordia
4 : 2
NEC

Marcilio Dias

(Away)
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
28 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2
Marcilio Dias
07 Jun
Sao Joseense
0 : 0
Marcilio Dias
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias541011:413
2Joinville530211:49
3Gremio Juventus52216:58
4Concordia52128:107
5NEC52038:126
6Tubarao50053:120
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2020 (Play Offs)