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Necaxa U20 vs UNAM Pumas U20

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Necaxa U20 play UNAM Pumas U20 in the Liga MX U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Necaxa U20 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. UNAM Pumas U20 averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Necaxa U20 won 2, UNAM Pumas U20 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Necaxa U20 and 1.31 for UNAM Pumas U20. This points to a UNAM Pumas U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Necaxa U20
32%
Draws
36%
UNAM Pumas U20
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: UNAM Pumas U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Necaxa U20 picked up more points recently compared to UNAM Pumas U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Necaxa U20 Clean Sheet 18%
UNAM Pumas U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U20 UNAM Pumas U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 Liga MX U20
Necaxa U20 vs UNAM Pumas U20
2:2
Jul 17, 2022 Liga MX U20
UNAM Pumas U20 vs Necaxa U20
1:2
Mar 19, 2022 Liga MX U20
UNAM Pumas U20 vs Necaxa U20
1:2
Aug 17, 2021 Liga MX U20
Necaxa U20 vs UNAM Pumas U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UNAM Pumas U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Casares M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samano Salgado F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U20 32 / 100
UNAM Pumas U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U20 UNAM Pumas U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UNAM Pumas U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Necaxa U20 attacking → ← attacking UNAM Pumas U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

UNAM Pumas U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Necaxa U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UNAM Pumas U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 46
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guadalajara Chivas U2017105228:1935
2Club America U2017104326:1934
3Atlas U201795336:2232
4Toluca U2017102530:1732
5Tigres UANL U201776424:1727
6Puebla U201773734:3024
7Queretaro U201773729:3024
8Santos Laguna U201780926:2924
9Juarez U201773718:2424
10Necaxa U201765626:2523
11Monterrey U201765620:1923
12Cruz Azul U201757518:1822
13Club Tijuana U201756621:2121
14UNAM Pumas U201755727:2620
15Pachuca U201754827:3019
16Mazatlan U2017521017:3317
17Club Leon U201726919:3012
18Atletico San Luis U2017151115:328