Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa U21 vs Club Tijuana U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Fri, Mar 20, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ochoa E.
19' Event
Guerrero H.
32' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

Necaxa U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Necaxa U21
15%
Draws
45%
Club Tijuana U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Tijuana U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 have won more games recently than Club Tijuana U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Club Tijuana U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Club Tijuana U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 0 1
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Club Tijuana U21
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Tijuana U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Club Tijuana U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochoa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 35 / 100
Club Tijuana U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Club Tijuana U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Tijuana U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Club Tijuana U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Necaxa U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Club Tijuana U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
17 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 3
Club Leon U21
Page 1 of 6

Club Tijuana U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
05 Sept
Club America U21
4 : 3
Club Tijuana U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 2
Club Tijuana U21
16 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)