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Necaxa U21 vs Puebla U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Araiza D.
38' Event
Valdez J.
89'
Tello I.

AI Match Summary

Puebla U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Necaxa U21
15%
Draws
45%
Puebla U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Necaxa U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Puebla U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Puebla U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 0 1
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Puebla U21
0:2
Mar 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Necaxa U21
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Puebla U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 42 / 100
Puebla U21 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Puebla U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Necaxa U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Puebla U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Necaxa U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Puebla U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
06 Nov
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
01 Nov
Santos Laguna U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
23 Oct
Necaxa U21
2 : 3
Juarez U21
20 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
16 Oct
Necaxa U21
1 : 2
Atlas U21
Page 1 of 6

Puebla U21

(Away)
30 Oct
Puebla U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
25 Oct
Atlas U21
1 : 2
Puebla U21
21 Oct
Puebla U21
3 : 2
Monterrey U21
16 Oct
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0
Puebla U21
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 15 15 0 0 36:10 41
2 Club Leon U21 15 12 0 3 27:19 31
3 Club America U21 15 8 0 7 22:19 25
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 15 8 0 7 23:25 25
5 Puebla U21 14 8 0 6 19:15 24
6 Club Tijuana U21 14 8 0 6 20:21 24
7 Monterrey U21 14 8 0 6 31:22 23
8 UNAM Pumas U21 15 6 0 9 17:19 23
9 Atletico San Luis U21 15 8 0 7 30:31 22
10 Necaxa U21 15 8 0 7 17:20 22
11 Juarez U21 15 7 0 8 17:19 21
12 Santos Laguna U21 15 7 0 8 17:20 21
13 Atlante U21 15 7 0 8 23:28 21
14 Pachuca U21 15 5 0 10 18:23 20
15 Atlas U21 15 4 0 11 18:24 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 15 5 0 10 20:27 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 15 6 0 9 23:29 15
18 Queretaro U21 14 3 0 11 21:28 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)