Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa U21 vs Puebla U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Araiza D.
38' Event
Valdez J.
89'
Tello I.

AI Match Summary

Puebla U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Necaxa U21
15%
Draws
42%
Puebla U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Puebla U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Puebla U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Puebla U21
0:2
Mar 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Necaxa U21
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Puebla U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 36 / 100
Puebla U21 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Puebla U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Necaxa U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Puebla U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Necaxa U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Puebla U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
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Puebla U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
29 Aug
Club America U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
22 Aug
Puebla U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
17 Aug
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Puebla U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 9 8 0 1 18:9 21
2 Toluca U21 7 7 0 0 14:4 19
3 Club Tijuana U21 8 5 0 3 14:10 17
4 Puebla U21 8 5 0 3 10:6 16
5 Guadalajara Chivas U21 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
6 Club America U21 9 5 0 4 14:13 15
7 Pachuca U21 9 3 0 6 10:13 13
8 Monterrey U21 7 4 0 3 13:7 12
9 Cruz Azul U21 8 5 0 3 16:12 11
10 Atletico San Luis U21 9 4 0 5 15:18 11
11 Necaxa U21 9 4 0 5 10:15 11
12 Atlas U21 8 3 0 5 11:9 10
13 Juarez U21 7 4 0 3 8:8 10
14 UNAM Pumas U21 8 3 0 5 8:10 10
15 Santos Laguna U21 8 3 0 5 7:12 10
16 Atlante U21 9 3 0 6 9:16 10
17 Tigres UANL U21 9 2 0 7 8:18 8
18 Queretaro U21 8 1 0 7 6:14 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)