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Necaxa U21 vs Tigres UANL U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 18, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
73' Event
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Necaxa U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Necaxa U21
15%
Draws
26%
Tigres UANL U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Necaxa U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tigres UANL U21.
  • Model gives Necaxa U21 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Necaxa U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Tigres UANL U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Necaxa U21
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 40 / 100
Tigres UANL U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Tigres UANL U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Necaxa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tigres UANL U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Necaxa U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Tigres UANL U21
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
29 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)