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Necaxa vs Juarez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Necaxa host Juarez in the Liga MX. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Necaxa at 1.25 goals for, 1.71 against; Juarez at 1.21 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor Necaxa slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Necaxa to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Necaxa
20%
Draws
64%
Juarez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Juarez have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — Necaxa are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 16%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa Juarez
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Necaxa
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Juarez
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Necaxa
2:2
Aug 24, 2024 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Juarez
3:0
Feb 3, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Necaxa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa 31 / 100
Juarez 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa Juarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Juarez conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Necaxa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Juarez registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa VS Juarez
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa

(Home)
17 Oct
Necaxa
0 : 2
Atlas
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3
Necaxa
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Juarez

(Away)
18 Oct
Cruz Azul
5 : 0
Juarez
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)