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Needham Market vs Banbury

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wreh C.
83' Event
Ferguson C.

AI Match Summary

Banbury in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Banbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Needham Market
35%
Draws
13%
Banbury
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Needham Market

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Banbury haven't matched Needham Market's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 20%
Banbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Needham Market Banbury
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.72 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Banbury
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Banbury vs Needham Market
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Banbury
1:4
Sep 11, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Banbury vs Needham Market
3:3
Jan 16, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Banbury
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Needham Market Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Banbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Wreh C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Needham Market 31 / 100
Banbury 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Needham Market Banbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Needham Market found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Needham Market went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Banbury lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Needham Market VS Banbury
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

(Home)
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0
Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1
Stanway Rovers
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

Banbury

(Away)
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0
Banbury
12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2
Leiston
09 Sept
Exmouth Town
2 : 1
Banbury
05 Sept
Banbury
0 : 0
Exmouth Town
31 Aug
Anstey Nomads
3 : 0
Banbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)