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Needham Market vs Stourbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Needham Market host Stourbridge in the Southern League Premier Central. Little to choose between these two on current form. Stourbridge have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Needham Market have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.85. Head-to-head, Needham Market have won 3 to Stourbridge's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Needham Market. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Needham Market
20%
Draws
48%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stourbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Needham Market come out ahead of Stourbridge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stourbridge's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 17%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Needham Market Stourbridge
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stourbridge
3:0
Mar 5, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stourbridge
1:0
Dec 3, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Needham Market
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Needham Market 20 / 100
Stourbridge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Needham Market Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Needham Market found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Stourbridge has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Needham Market has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Needham Market VS Stourbridge
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

(Home)
31 Oct
Redditch
3 : 3
Needham Market
27 Oct
Needham Market
1 : 1
Leighton Town
24 Oct
Needham Market
0 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1
Stortford
17 Oct
Leamington
1 : 2
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

Stourbridge

(Away)
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1
Kettering
27 Oct
Real Bedford
0 : 1
Stourbridge
24 Oct
Loughborough Students
0 : 2
Stourbridge
17 Oct
Bury Town
2 : 0
Stourbridge
13 Oct
Worcester
1 : 3
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 16 11 2 3 40:22 35
2 Bury Town 16 10 2 4 28:25 32
3 Bromsgrove 14 9 4 1 28:14 31
4 Kettering 15 8 4 3 29:17 28
5 Rushall 16 9 0 7 32:25 27
6 Alvechurch 14 7 5 2 27:13 26
7 Peterborough Sports 15 7 5 3 31:25 26
8 Needham Market 15 7 4 4 32:23 25
9 Anstey Nomads 14 6 5 3 27:21 23
10 Halesowen 13 7 2 4 20:18 23
11 Stourbridge 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
12 Racing Club Warwick 15 5 5 5 22:19 20
13 Redditch 13 4 6 3 22:20 18
14 Stratford 15 3 7 5 21:27 16
15 Leiston 13 4 3 6 23:26 15
16 Banbury 15 3 5 7 18:28 14
17 Worcester 13 3 4 6 15:17 13
18 Hitchin 15 3 4 8 17:23 13
19 Stortford 15 4 1 10 18:28 13
20 Leamington 15 2 4 9 21:30 10
21 Leighton Town 14 1 3 10 15:32 6
22 Stamford 15 1 1 13 4:39 4
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)