Sport Picks
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ubaydullaev M.
8'
8'
Mukhtorov K.
(Penalty)
33'
33'
Alibaev I.
AI Match Summary
Neftchi Fargona in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Fargona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftchi Fargona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Buxoro haven't matched Neftchi Fargona's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 68%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Fargona | Buxoro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Neftchi Fargona
4:1
Jul 16, 2026 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Neftchi Fargona
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Top Goalscorer Perica S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iskanderov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Buxoro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftchi Fargona 95 / 100
Buxoro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftchi Fargona Buxoro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftchi Fargona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftchi Fargona found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Buxoro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Neftchi Fargona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Neftchi Fargona VS Buxoro
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftchi Fargona
(Home) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 4
Buxoro
(Away) 09 Oct
Buxoro
3 : 2 Andijan
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
27 Jul
Andijan
2 : 0 Buxoro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
