Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Istiqlol Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Ubaydullaev M.
8' Event
Mukhtorov K.
(Penalty)
33'
Alibaev I.

AI Match Summary

Neftchi Fargona in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Fargona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Neftchi Fargona
17%
Draws
13%
Buxoro
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Buxoro haven't matched Neftchi Fargona's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 20%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Fargona Buxoro
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 24 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Neftchi Fargona
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro
3:0
Apr 21, 2023 Super League
Buxoro vs Neftchi Fargona
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftchi Fargona Compare

Top Goalscorer Perica S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iskanderov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Buxoro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Fargona 67 / 100
Buxoro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Fargona Buxoro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftchi Fargona found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Buxoro has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Neftchi Fargona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Fargona VS Buxoro
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5Bunyodkor1261514:1419
6Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
7Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
8Andijan1151516:1116
9OKMK1144314:1416
10Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Sogdiana1233621:2512
13Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
14Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
15Kokand 19121125410:1511
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210