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Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019 Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana
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AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga 2019 game between Neftchi Fargona and Istiklol Fergana finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Neftchi Fargona
33%
Draws
27%
Istiklol Fergana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neftchi Fargona come out ahead of Istiklol Fergana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neftchi Fargona a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 20%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Fargona Istiklol Fergana
Matches Played 38 41
Wins 29 19
Draws 3 12
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2021 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana
2:0
Sep 9, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Neftchi Fargona
0:1
Oct 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Aug 25, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Neftchi Fargona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Fargona 40 / 100
Istiklol Fergana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Fargona Istiklol Fergana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftchi Fargona's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Neftchi Fargona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Istiklol Fergana let in goals in 44% of their last 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Fargona VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftchi Fargona

(Home)
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5
Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0
Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 8

Istiklol Fergana

(Away)
28 May
Istiklol Fergana
0 : 0
Aral
20 May
Shortan Guzor
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
14 May
FK Yangiyer
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
06 May
Istiklol Fergana
0 : 0
Olympic
15 Apr
Buxoro
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185
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