Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Istiqlol Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Marusic Z.
6' Event
Ratinho
18'
Ratinho

AI Match Summary

Neftchi Fargona host Kokand 1912 in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Kokand 1912 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Neftchi Fargona have conceded 0.38 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Neftchi Fargona slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.81 - 0.69) back Neftchi Fargona to edge this. Neftchi Fargona in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Neftchi Fargona
6%
Draws
4%
Kokand 1912
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kokand 1912.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Neftchi Fargona.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 68%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Fargona Kokand 1912
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
4:0
Aug 7, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Neftchi Fargona
1:2
Mar 14, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
0:0
Aug 2, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Neftchi Fargona
3:3
Mar 2, 2022 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftchi Fargona Compare

Top Goalscorer Giyosov K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marusic Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kokand 1912 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Fargona 95 / 100
Kokand 1912 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Fargona Kokand 1912

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftchi Fargona scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Kokand 1912 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Neftchi Fargona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kokand 1912 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Fargona VS Kokand 1912
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210