Sport Picks
Neftchi Fargona vs Navbahor Namangan
Uzbekistan
Super League Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 
AI Match Summary
Neftchi Fargona host Navbahor Namangan in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Neftchi Fargona have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Navbahor Namangan's 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Neftchi Fargona slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Neftchi Fargona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Navbahor Namangan.
- Model gives Neftchi Fargona a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Fargona | Navbahor Namangan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 23 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftchi Fargona's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Navbahor Namangan let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Neftchi Fargona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftchi Fargona
(Home)Navbahor Namangan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 23 |
| 4 | OKMK | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Navbahor Namangan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Bunyodkor | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Nasaf Qarshi | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Andijan | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Din. Samarkand | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Termez Surkhon | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:30 | 12 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6:22 | 4 |
