Sport Picks
Neftchi Fargona vs Navbahor Namangan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 
Match Events
3'
3'
Usmonov M.
Assist: Kholmatov D.
9'
9'
Iskanderov J.
12'
12'
Jgerenaia G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navbahor Namangan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Navbahor Namangan.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 13%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Fargona | Navbahor Namangan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Neftchi Fargona
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Navbahor Namangan
3:2
Oct 20, 2024 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Navbahor Namangan
2:2
May 19, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Neftchi Fargona
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Top Goalscorer Gofurov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Navbahor Namangan Compare
Top Goalscorer Usmonov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftchi Fargona 31 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftchi Fargona Navbahor Namangan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftchi Fargona's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Navbahor Namangan let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Neftchi Fargona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Neftchi Fargona VS Navbahor Namangan
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftchi Fargona
(Home) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 4
Navbahor Namangan
(Away) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
28 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
