Sport Picks
Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
Uzbekistan
Super League 2025 Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2025 game between Neftchi Fargona and Qizilqum finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Fargona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftchi Fargona carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Neftchi Fargona taking it.
- Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Fargona | Qizilqum |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Qizilqum Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Neftchi Fargona scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Qizilqum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Neftchi Fargona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftchi Fargona
(Home)Qizilqum
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 49:24 | 64 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Nasaf Qarshi | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 51:23 | 59 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 47:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48:40 | 49 |
| 6 | OKMK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44:34 | 48 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 41:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Sogdiana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37:37 | 37 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 28:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Termez Surkhon | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:30 | 35 |
| 11 | Andijan | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 39:51 | 35 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 24:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:48 | 30 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30:49 | 27 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33:39 | 27 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:57 | 17 |