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Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Uson Uulu E.
Own Goal
38' Event
Tashtemirov E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga 2025 game between Neftchi Kochkor-Ata and Alga Bishkek finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
6%
Draws
90%
Alga Bishkek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alga Bishkek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alga Bishkek come out ahead of Neftchi Kochkor-Ata on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alga Bishkek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Clean Sheet 20%
Alga Bishkek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Alga Bishkek
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
2:1
Nov 4, 2025 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek
1:1
Mar 27, 2025 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1:2
Oct 1, 2024 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek
2:4
Aug 11, 2024 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Compare

Top Goalscorer Tashtemirov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alga Bishkek Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 10 / 100
Alga Bishkek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Alga Bishkek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Neftchi Kochkor-Ata scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Alga Bishkek let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata VS Alga Bishkek
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata

(Home)
24 Jul
Aldier
1 : 3
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
07 Jul
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0 : 2
Aldier
03 Jul
Talant
1 : 1
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
23 Jun
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1 : 3
Dordoi Bishkek
11 Jun
Abdysh-Ata Kant
2 : 0
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Page 1 of 6

Alga Bishkek

(Away)
26 Jul
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Alga Bishkek
08 Jul
Alga Bishkek
1 : 1
Dordoi Bishkek
03 Jul
Abdysh-Ata Kant
0 : 1
Alga Bishkek
23 Jun
Alga Bishkek
3 : 1
Bars
13 Jun
Muras United
1 : 3
Alga Bishkek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bars26194351:2161
2Muras United26193459:2460
3Abdysh-Ata Kant26173647:2954
4Dordoi Bishkek26166442:2754
5Alay Osh26154744:2649
6Aldier26126839:3242
7Ozgon261051133:2735
8Talant261021431:3732
9Neftchi Kochkor-Ata26751433:4026
10Kyrgyzaltyn26741522:4925
11Alga Bishkek26661427:3724
12Ilbirs26561523:4721
13Bishkek City26541726:4819
14Asiagoal Bishkek26422024:5714
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