Sport Picks
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kyrgyzstan
Premier Liga 
Match Events
7'
7'
Gavrilov Y.
29'
29'
Abdeselam M.
(Penalty)
36'
36'
Cobet A.
AI Match Summary
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Kochkor-Ata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alga Bishkek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Neftchi Kochkor-Ata haven't matched Alga Bishkek's recent run of results.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Clean Sheet 20%
Alga Bishkek Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftchi Kochkor-Ata | Alga Bishkek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek
3:1
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
2:1
Nov 4, 2025 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek
1:1
Mar 27, 2025 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1:2
Oct 1, 2024 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Alga Bishkek
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Compare
Top Goalscorer Gavrilov Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cobet A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Alga Bishkek Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 32 / 100
Alga Bishkek 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Alga Bishkek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alga Bishkek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Alga Bishkek let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Neftchi Kochkor-Ata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata VS Alga Bishkek
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
(Home) 08 Oct
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0 : 0 Muras United
19 Sept
Asia Talas
3 : 2 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
11 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Asiagoal Bishkek
05 Sept
Bishkek City
1 : 0 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Alga Bishkek
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0 : 0 Muras United
11 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Asiagoal Bishkek
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Alga Bishkek
14 Aug
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
4 : 1 Abdysh-Ata Kant
03 Aug
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
2 : 0 Talant
Page 1 of 4
Alga Bishkek
(Away) 08 Oct
Alga Bishkek
3 : 2 Asiagoal Bishkek
17 Sept
Alga Bishkek
0 : 0 Kyrgyzaltyn
07 Sept
Asia Talas
1 : 2 Alga Bishkek
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Alga Bishkek
24 Aug
Bishkek City
1 : 3 Alga Bishkek
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Asia Talas
1 : 2 Alga Bishkek
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1 Alga Bishkek
24 Aug
Bishkek City
1 : 3 Alga Bishkek
11 Aug
Toktogul
1 : 0 Alga Bishkek
07 Aug
Bars
2 : 1 Alga Bishkek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bars | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 68:32 | 52 |
| 2 | Asia Talas | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 57:38 | 49 |
| 3 | Alga Bishkek | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 44:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Muras United | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 47:20 | 47 |
| 5 | Ozgon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 51:29 | 47 |
| 6 | Alay Osh | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Talant | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Bishkek City | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:33 | 30 |
| 9 | Neftchi Kochkor-Ata | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 33:42 | 30 |
| 10 | Dordoi Bishkek | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 38:35 | 29 |
| 11 | Ilbirs | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 29:37 | 28 |
| 12 | Toktogul | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Aldier | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35:47 | 28 |
| 14 | Asiagoal Bishkek | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 29:43 | 21 |
| 15 | Abdysh-Ata Kant | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18:49 | 12 |
| 16 | Kyrgyzaltyn | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19:67 | 9 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
