Sport Picks
Neftci Baku vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Palms Sports Arena, Baku 
Match Events
45'
45'
Queiroz D.
46'
46'
Sub
Severina X. In: Parris K.
Out: Severina X.
61'
61'
Sub
Queiroz D. In: Isayev A.
Out: Queiroz D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sabah Baku lately — more wins on the board than Neftci Baku.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Neftci Baku taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 16%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftci Baku | Sabah Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 19 | 28 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Sabah Baku
0:0
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku
1:2
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Sabah Baku
0:0
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftci Baku 66 / 100
Sabah Baku 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftci Baku Sabah Baku
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftci Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftci Baku's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Neftci Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 57% of their last 40 outings.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Neftci Baku VS Sabah Baku
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftci Baku
(Home) 09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3 Neftci Baku
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3 Neftci Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1 Safa Baku
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0 Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1 Safa Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0 Araz PFK
22 Jul
Neftci Baku
2 : 4 Din. Minsk
13 Jul
Neftci Baku
0 : 1 Osijek
Page 1 of 3
Sabah Baku
(Away) 09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1 Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3 Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0 Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0 Zira FK
Page 1 of 8
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3 Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0 Sabah Baku
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1 Sabah Baku
19 Aug
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)
