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Neftci Baku vs Sabah FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Queiroz D.
46'
Sub
Severina X. In: Parris K.
Out: Severina X.
61'
Sub
Queiroz D. In: Isayev A.
Out: Queiroz D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Neftci Baku
30%
Draws
33%
Sabah FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Neftci Baku at 2.23 per game, Sabah FC at 1.14.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Neftci Baku taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Sabah FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftci Baku Sabah FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.23 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Sabah FC
0:0
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Sabah FC vs Neftci Baku
1:2
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Sabah FC vs Neftci Baku
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Sabah FC
0:0
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Sabah FC vs Neftci Baku
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftci Baku 42 / 100
Sabah FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftci Baku Sabah FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftci Baku's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Neftci Baku went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sabah FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Neftci Baku VS Sabah Baku
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftci Baku

(Home)
17 Oct
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 3
Neftci Baku
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

Sabah FC

(Away)
20 Oct
Sabah Baku
1 : 2
Dortmund
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)