Sport Picks
Neftekhimik vs FK Rostov
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 Neftekhimik Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Neftekhimik play FK Rostov in the Russian Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neftekhimik averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. FK Rostov averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Neftekhimik won 0, FK Rostov won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Neftekhimik and 0.94 for FK Rostov. This points to a FK Rostov double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftekhimik picked up more points recently compared to FK Rostov.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftekhimik | FK Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftekhimik Compare
FK Rostov Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftekhimik scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
FK Rostov let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Neftekhimik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
FK Rostov lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics