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Neftekhimik vs Kamaz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neftekhimik play Kamaz in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neftekhimik averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Kamaz averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Neftekhimik won 1, Kamaz won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Neftekhimik and 0.88 for Kamaz. This points to a Kamaz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Neftekhimik
35%
Draws
33%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kamaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftekhimik picked up more points recently compared to Kamaz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 25%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftekhimik Kamaz
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Neftekhimik vs Kamaz
3:3
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Kamaz vs Neftekhimik
2:3
Jun 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Neftekhimik vs Kamaz
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 FNL
Kamaz vs Neftekhimik
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Kamaz
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 34 / 100
Kamaz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftekhimik Kamaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kamaz or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Neftekhimik attacking → ← attacking Kamaz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftekhimik scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Kamaz let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Neftekhimik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kamaz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 44
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75