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Tyumen

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neftekhimik play Tyumen in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neftekhimik averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Tyumen averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Neftekhimik won 2, Tyumen won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Neftekhimik and 1.25 for Tyumen. This points to a Neftekhimik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Neftekhimik

30%

Draws

31%

Tyumen

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neftekhimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Neftekhimik picked up more points recently compared to Tyumen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 19%

Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neftekhimik	Tyumen
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	12	9
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.47	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Neftekhimik vs Tyumen

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly

Neftekhimik vs Tyumen

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:4

Apr 27, 2025 FNL

Tyumen vs Neftekhimik

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jul 14, 2024 FNL

Neftekhimik vs Tyumen

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Apr 20, 2024 FNL

Tyumen vs Neftekhimik

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 39 / 100

Tyumen 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neftekhimik Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Neftekhimik or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Neftekhimik attacking → ← attacking Tyumen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftekhimik scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Tyumen let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Neftekhimik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tyumen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 33

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63