Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Neftekhimik Stadium

Neftekhimik

2 - 2

Ulyanovsk

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Kamenshchikov D.

30'

Platonov P.

32'

Shiltsov K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Neftekhimik

22%

Draws

18%

Ulyanovsk

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Neftekhimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Ulyanovsk lately — more wins on the board than Neftekhimik.
Neftekhimik are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 68%

Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neftekhimik	Ulyanovsk
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	9	10
Draws	11	9
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.25	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 FNL

Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Sep 20, 2025 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Nov 20, 2022 FNL

Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Nov 2, 2022 Russian Cup

Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Jul 30, 2022 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftekhimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Platonov P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shiltsov K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamenshchikov D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yakovlev V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 68 / 100

Ulyanovsk 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neftekhimik Ulyanovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Neftekhimik found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Neftekhimik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neftekhimik VS Ulyanovsk

1.25 Goals Scored 0.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22