Sport Picks
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk 
Match Events
19'
19'
Kamenshchikov D.
30'
30'
Platonov P.
32'
32'
Shiltsov K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulyanovsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neftekhimik lately — more wins on the board than Ulyanovsk.
- Neftekhimik are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 68%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftekhimik | Ulyanovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
2:0
May 10, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
1:4
Nov 20, 2022 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Nov 2, 2022 Russian Cup
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftekhimik Compare
Top Goalscorer Platonov P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shiltsov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ulyanovsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Kamenshchikov D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yakovlev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftekhimik 46 / 100
Ulyanovsk 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftekhimik Ulyanovsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Ulyanovsk conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Neftekhimik found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Neftekhimik remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Neftekhimik VS Ulyanovsk
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftekhimik
(Home) 18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
14 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
01 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 0 Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 3
Ulyanovsk
(Away) 26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
30 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
16 Aug
PFC Sochi
1 : 0 Ulyanovsk
09 Aug
Kamaz
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
